So, in the latest episode of “Bob’s Bitcoin Bonanza,” our favorite market analyst, Bob Loukas, is back with his crystal ball and a side of sarcasm. He’s here to tell us that despite Bitcoin taking a nosedive of about 22% from its recent high (because who doesn’t love a good rollercoaster?), it’s all just part of the show. 🎢
Bob kicks things off by acknowledging that traders are sweating bullets as Bitcoin plummets from around $110,000 to the mid-$80,000s. But fear not! He reassures us that this is just Bitcoin being, well, Bitcoin. “As I record this video, Bitcoin’s at $87,000, down from an all-time high of around $110,000… which historically, even for this four-year cycle, is basically right on the averages,” he quips. Because who doesn’t love a good historical reference when your money is on the line? 🙄
Bitcoin’s Four-Year Cycles: The Never-Ending Story
Now, Bob dives into the nitty-gritty of Bitcoin’s four-year cycles, which he breaks down into “weekly cycles” that last about six months. It’s like a soap opera, but with more volatility and fewer dramatic pauses. He warns us that while these corrections shouldn’t be shocking, we might still see Bitcoin dip into the $70,000s. “There’s no reason why this current move couldn’t drop all the way down to the low $80,000s,” he says, as if he’s discussing the weather. 🌧️
According to Bob, these dips are just a “fear reset.” You know, like when you eat an entire pizza and then decide to go on a diet. Late buyers often panic and sell during these pullbacks, but Bob insists that these phases are just paving the way for fresh rallies. Because nothing says “buy low, sell high” like a good old-fashioned panic attack! 😅
He’s got his eyes set on a target of $153,000 per Bitcoin, contingent on where this current decline bottoms out. “From the mid-$80,000s, my baseline scenario projects a potential 80% upward move during the next multi-week upswing,” he states, as if he’s predicting the next big blockbuster hit. 🎬
But wait! There’s a twist! Bob remains open to the possibility that the top could be in if the next rebound flops. If Bitcoin can’t bounce back and instead decides to take a leisurely stroll down to the $70,000s, we might be in for a trend change. “If we see a sharp countertrend move that rolls over quickly, that’s extremely concerning,” he warns. Because who doesn’t love a good cliffhanger? 😱
The Great Bitcoin and Altcoin Breakup
In a shocking turn of events, Bob mentions the altcoin market, but it seems like Bitcoin is going through a “significant decoupling” from its less popular cousins. “There isn’t a retail case, there isn’t a retail flow… so many (altcoin) narratives have come and gone,” he says, as if he’s discussing an ex who just won’t stop texting. 📱
He believes Bitcoin is maturing, attracting interest from pension funds and institutions that are way too serious for the “crypto” label. According to Bob, Bitcoin’s monthly chart shows no signs of a cycle top, and he’s convinced we’re not done with this wild ride just yet. “We’re in year three of the cycle. Time-wise, if this follows prior four-year structures, we have another leg higher,” he predicts, like a fortune teller at a carnival. 🎡
But let’s not get too comfortable! Bob reminds us that no cycle is infallible. If Bitcoin’s weekly cycle fails, we might be in for a bumpy ride. “Until we have a top in the four-year cycle, I think we have to just grin and bear [the drawdowns] and see it through,” he says, as if he’s giving us a pep talk before a big game. 🏆
At press time, BTC traded at $86,562. So, buckle up, folks! It’s going to be a bumpy ride! 🚀
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2025-02-28 02:11