Steno Research Predicts Surge in DeFi TVL Amid Interest Rate Shifts

As a seasoned crypto investor who lived through the DeFi summer of 2020 and witnessed the incredible growth it brought, I can’t help but feel an excited anticipation about the upcoming resurgence of decentralized finance. The signs are all there – the increasing TVL, the expanding stablecoin supply, and the surge in tokenized real-world assets. It seems like history might be repeating itself, with interest rates playing a crucial role once again.


It’s anticipated that the Decentralized Finance (DeFi) industry will experience a significant comeback, possibly reaching record-breaking levels as soon as the first half of 2025, according to Steno Research’s latest findings. Already, the DeFi sector is demonstrating robust signs of revival, with its Total Value Locked (TVL) currently standing at approximately $86.75 billion – a substantial 60% rise since the start of 2024.

As someone who has closely followed the decentralized finance (DeFi) market for several years now, I firmly believe that the optimistic outlook for this sector is strongly supported by a few crucial factors. Among these, the interest rates in the United States hold a particularly significant position due to their substantial impact on DeFi’s attractiveness.

2020’s DeFi season, spurred by the Federal Reserve’s reduction in interest rates due to the COVID-19 crisis, provides a significant historical example.

With decreasing interest rates, the Decentralized Finance (DeFi) industry saw rapid growth as investors sought out lucrative, non-traditional opportunities within the decentralized marketplace. By late 2021, the DeFi sector had reached an astonishing Total Value Locked (TVL) of $180 billion, according to data provided by DeFiLlama.

Today’s economic climate might be mirroring a trend seen before, particularly as interest rates are changing, which could pave the way for the expansion of Decentralized Finance (DeFi).

Other Major Factors

One way to rephrase the given text in a natural and easy-to-read manner is: “The increase in the amount of stablecoins available is one factor contributing to the renewed growth of Decentralized Finance (DeFi). Stablecoins, which are usually tied to the value of the U.S. dollar, play a crucial role in DeFi systems by enabling transactions and providing liquidity. As interest rates drop, it becomes less costly to hold stablecoins, making them more appealing and enhancing the overall attractiveness of DeFi.”

Notably, the stablecoin supply has expanded by around $40 billion since the beginning of 2024.

From my perspective as a crypto investor, I’ve noticed that the surge of real-world assets (RWAs) within DeFi has been a significant catalyst for its growth this year. The increase in tokenized stocks, bonds, and commodities by 50% YTD is a clear indication of the robust demand for digital financial products. These RWAs are effectively bridging the gap between traditional finance and decentralized finance, making DeFi more attractive to investors like myself.

As a researcher delving into the world of decentralized finance (DeFi), I’ve observed that the market capitalization of DeFi cryptocurrencies currently hovers at approximately $61.32 billion, marking a minor dip of 3.13% over the past day. Remarkably, the top five DeFi tokens – Avalanche (AVAX), Chainlink (LINK), Dai (DAI), Uniswap (UNI), and Stacks (STX) – have shown significant growth trends lately. For example, AVAX, which is currently trading near $26.1, has experienced a notable surge of around 30% over the past week.

Security Breaches in DeFi

Despite these positive developments, the DeFi sector is not without its challenges. Security breaches remain a significant concern, with an increasing number of attacks targeting DeFi protocols. In July alone, hackers launched a series of high-profile attacks on platforms like Dough Finance, LI.FI, and Rho Markets.

Furthermore, an instance of DNS hijacking occurred last month, affecting more than 220 interfaces of Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols, underscoring the continuous threats inherent in this sector.

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2024-08-23 16:08