Solana (SOL) Is ‘Truly In Limbo’ If This Happens, Warns Crypto Analyst

As a seasoned analyst with over two decades of experience navigating the volatile world of finance and technology, I find myself intrigued by the ongoing debate surrounding Solana’s developmental strategy. Having witnessed the rise and fall of numerous projects, I can’t help but see parallels between Solana’s current predicament and Ethereum’s past struggles to scale effectively.


A statement by Austin Federa, strategist at the Solana Foundation, has ignited a broad discussion among crypto enthusiasts. On Monday, he proposed an innovative perspective for improving aspects of the Solana blockchain through a post on X, suggesting that many L2-related features on Solana should be considered as Network Extensions instead.

Although the technical structure may share similarities with Bitcoin or Ethereum Layer 2 systems, the purpose and function are so distinct that I believe it would be more accurate to label them as Network Extensions. Network Extensions expand the Solana network to new locations, or they add new execution environments, specialized processing, etc., to the Solana network. Features such as State Compression, cNFTs, Neon’s EVM layer, and even Phoenix can be categorized under this framework, in my opinion. (Federa wrote)

Why This Could Put Solana ‘In Limbo’

In response to this post, Ignas – a well-known cryptocurrency analyst and co-founder of Pinky Brains – shared his insights and apprehensions about Solana’s developmental approach with his approximately 105,000 followers on X platform. Ignas brings attention to the crucial discussion surrounding Solana’s development strategy, and he poses a significant question: Will the crypto community accept the new terminology for “Network extension” or persist in preferring the “Layer 2” label?

In simpler terms, Ignas discusses the possible issues that might arise from Solana renaming its scalability upgrades as Network Extensions. He advises caution, suggesting that if Solana’s change results in complications similar to Ethereum’s—like liquidity division and a deteriorated user experience due to the intricacies of linking between layers—then SOL‘s future could be at risk, potentially leaving it in an uncertain position.

As a crypto investor, I’ve found myself stuck between ETH and SOL during this bull run. Bitcoin has been attracting less conservative and institutional investors due to its reputation as ‘better money’. On the other hand, Solana, with its speed, simplicity, and lower costs for smart contract platforms, offers a higher potential return than Ethereum. However, if the Solana narrative evolves to incorporate layer-2 scaling solutions like Ethereum, SOL could potentially overtake ETH. But until then, SOL seems to be in a state of uncertainty.

The impact on the Solana price could be significant. According to Ignas, Ethereum would remain the “safer option” for long-term investors because of its higher decentralization and no downtimes. “Plus, if degens start chasing ‘network extension’ tokens for SOL beta instead of buying SOL, it could stagnate SOL’s price growth,” the analyst added.

In the process, Ignas didn’t entirely rule out the benefits of Solana’s approach. He admitted that incorporating Network Extensions right from the beginning, along with existing aggregation layer solutions – a move Ethereum hadn’t made during its early Layer 2 deployments – could help address some of the usual hurdles linked to Layer 2 solutions.

By taking this proactive approach, we can ensure a consistent user experience and avoid the division of liquidity resources. In essence, Solana could continue to uphold its ‘single, cohesive story’ while still utilizing modular solutions for added benefits. This would also allow the ‘expansion of the network’ concept to flourish. Ignas sums it up.

If Solana transitions its focus towards L2s (Layer 2 solutions), it might leave a vacant position as the dominant leader in the crypto world. The crypto analyst posits: “Solana’s move to a modular scaling strategy opens up a chance for a new dominant scaling contender in the eyes of the crypto community. Could this be the ideal time for Monad to debut? Or will another Layer 1 blockchain claim the position of the monolithic chain from Solana? It promises to be thrilling!”

At press time, SOL traded at $134.

Solana (SOL) Is ‘Truly In Limbo’ If This Happens, Warns Crypto Analyst

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2024-09-03 23:15