In the grand theater of the cryptocurrency market, where fortunes are made and lost with the flick of a digital switch, Ethena (ENA) prepares to unveil a spectacle of monumental proportions. This week, it shall release a staggering $820 million worth of tokens, a veritable cornucopia of 2.07 billion tokens, which constitutes a remarkable 66.19% of its circulating supply. One might say, it is a feast for the eyes, or perhaps a banquet for the bears lurking in the shadows.
Ah, the token unlocks! They are akin to a tempestuous storm, stirring the waters of the market with their unpredictable winds. When such a significant portion of the circulating supply is unleashed, one cannot help but feel the ominous clouds of bearish sentiment gathering overhead. Investors, like wary sailors, brace themselves for the potential deluge of selling pressure that may follow. Yet, should the demand prove robust enough to absorb this newfound bounty, the storm may pass, leaving calm waters in its wake.
History, that ever-watchful guardian of wisdom, tells us that large unlocks often herald immediate declines in price, as investors, like frightened rabbits, scurry to sell before the tide turns against them. Tokenomist, that oracle of market data, informs us that alongside ENA, Movement (MOVE) shall release a modest 50 million tokens, valued at $23.14 million. Meanwhile, Solana (SOL) will unlock 465.7K tokens, a princely sum of $73.5 million, and Worldcoin (WLD) will contribute 37.23 million tokens to the fray, worth $43.18 million. It is a veritable carnival of tokens!
As if this grand unlocking were not enough, we find ourselves amidst the tumultuous waves of the Ethena stablecoin, USDe, which recently experienced the largest single-day redemption in history on the first of March, reaching a staggering 268 million. Such a feat caused the total USDe to plummet by approximately 4.7%. The most audacious redeemers of that fateful day were none other than 0x59…705d, who claimed 180 million tokens, and the enigmatic Sky, who seized 70 million tokens. Truly, a day for the history books!
ENA Price Analysis
At present, ENA finds itself trading at a modest $0.3945, having succumbed to a decline of approximately 11% in the preceding day. With a market cap of $1.23 billion, as reported by CoinGecko, one might wonder if this is a mere blip on the radar or the beginning of a more profound descent. The daily price chart reveals a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 40.51, while the 14-day moving average languishes at 38.15. Though not yet in the oversold territory, the faint pulse of buying momentum suggests a lack of enthusiasm among investors.
Moreover, the price of ENA hovers near the lower band of the Bollinger Bands at $0.3754, with the middle band (20-day SMA) resting at $0.4325, and the upper band at $0.4896. This configuration hints at a downward trajectory, leaving us to ponder whether the price shall continue its descent or experience a miraculous rebound toward the middle band.
In light of the impending token unlock, one cannot help but speculate that ENA’s price may breach the lower band if the selling pressure remains relentless. A fall below $0.375 could usher in a descent toward the ominous $0.30 mark or lower. Yet, should the buyers muster their courage and step forth, the next resistance zone may lie in wait around $0.43-$0.49, like a beacon of hope in a stormy sea.
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2025-03-03 22:32