As someone who has spent countless hours in the digital world of gaming, I can empathize with the frustration and excitement that these drop rates bring. The numbers presented here are a stark reminder of the randomness that often governs our virtual pursuits.
The Pokémon TCG Pocket is primarily focused on completing a Pokedex by collecting various cards. Let’s delve into the specific chances of obtaining some of these scarcely found cards as we’ve crunched some numbers for you.
Drop chances and rarity for Pokemon TCG Pocket cards
Initially, it’s important to understand that the probability of receiving a specific card from a Booster Pack is determined by two instances of Random Number Generation (RNG). Primarily, when you open a Booster Pack, there’s a 99.95% chance it will be a regular pack and only a 0.050% chance it will be a rare or special pack, often referred to in the community as a “God Pack.” The unique aspect of God Packs is that they exclusively contain One Star or higher rarities. Consequently, you have an opportunity to obtain some extremely rare and valuable cards when you receive one.
Let’s discuss the possibility of finding a ‘God Pack’. Although it’s impossible to calculate the exact odds (100%) for this event, we can determine the likelihood of obtaining one with 99% certainty. So, how many packs would it roughly take for you to almost definitely find a God Pack?
4000 is undeniably a massive figure, making it more practical to simply appreciate the rarity of finding them rather than dwelling on the odds. Regardless, you could open 4000 packets without ever getting one, or even 8000 for that matter.
Here’s a possible paraphrasing:
| Rarity | Cards 1-3 | Card 4 | Card 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| One Diamond | 100% | 0% | 0% |
| Two Diamonds | 0% | 90% (2) | 60% (6) |
| Three Diamonds | 0% | 5% (90) | 20% (21) |
| Four Diamonds | 0% | 1.666% (274) | 6.664% (99) |
| One Star | 0% | 2.572% (181) | 10.288% (64) |
| Two Stars | 0% | 0.5% (400) | 2% (345) |
| Three Stars | 0% | 0.222% (901) | 0.888% (811) |
| Crown | 0% | 0.04% (5000) | 0.16% (4286) |
It’s more apparent when you consider the total number of packs needed for a guaranteed drop, especially since we’re discussing the chance of obtaining a God Pack. Keep in mind that these packs only contain Rare cards. If luck favors you with a God Pack, here are the adjusted odds:
- One Star – 40% (14)
- Two Star – 50% (10)
- Three Star – 5% (135)
- Crown – 5% (135)
In other words, if you’re after a hard-to-find Illustration card or EX, you should be prepared for a prolonged search given these drop rates.
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2024-10-30 19:27