Ah, dear reader, unlike the other flamboyant altcoins that dance in the limelight, our dear XRP, priced at a modest $2.22, seems to be playing hide and seek with investors. With a 24-hour volatility of a mere 0.8% and a market cap that whispers $129.99 billion, it has yet to charm the wallets of the masses. Monthly gains? A paltry 6.18%. How quaint! 🥱
Despite a staggering 385% rally since late 2024, it appears that XRP has encountered a glass ceiling, one that even the most optimistic of investors cannot shatter. The on-chain data, like a well-placed mirror, reflects the vulnerability of those who dare to buy in.
Is XRP Price Preparing for a Near 80% Decline? 🤔
According to the wise sages at Glassnode, over 70% of XRP’s realized market capitalization was amassed between late 2024 and early 2025. A significant concentration, indeed! It’s as if everyone decided to pile into a lifeboat just before it sank.
The realized cap of the 3-to-6-month age band has seen a notable rise since November 2024, with sharp increases following January 2025 when XRP peaked at approximately $3.40. Oh, the irony!
🚨 Over 70% of the capital locked in $XRP was deployed near the top over the past 6 months.
— CryptoVizArt.₿ (@CryptoVizArt) May 24, 2025
This top-heavy market structure is as fragile as a house of cards, with newer investors reacting to XRP’s price swings like a cat to a laser pointer, triggering sharp corrections during market sell-offs. History, it seems, has a way of repeating itself.
In late 2017, XRP’s price peaked near $3.55, only to plummet by 95%. A similar tale unfolded in 2021, with a sharp rise in realized cap among short-term holders preceding an 80% decline. It’s almost as if the universe has a sense of humor!
It appears that XRP has formed a local top in January 2025, and a downtrend may be lurking just around the corner, like an unwanted guest at a dinner party.
Ripple Address Activity Takes a Dive 🐠
Back in March 2025, the total number of active XRP addresses reached dizzying heights. However, since then, the address activity has plummeted by a staggering 90%, before recovering partially. Talk about a dramatic fall from grace!
XRP Active Addresses – Source: Glassnode
This significant decline in active addresses may suggest that fewer souls are using XRP for transactions, preferring instead to clutch their tokens like a child with a favorite toy.
Meanwhile, XRP’s institutional flows have nosedived to a negative $37.5 million last week, ending an 80-week streak of consistent inflows. While other players like Solana, priced at $150.7, and SUI, at $3.65, bask in positive flows, XRP seems to be left out in the cold.
Moreover, the XRP price weekly chart reveals a consolidation phase within a falling wedge pattern. As of May 26, the cryptocurrency appears to have entered a short-term correction after failing to breach the wedge’s upper trendline. Oh, the suspense!
XRP weekly chart – Source: TradingView
If this recent price action continues, a broader pullback could drive XRP toward the wedge’s lower trendline, which coincides with the 50-week exponential moving average (50-week EMA, marked in red) near $1.76, approximately 25% below current levels. How delightful! 🎢
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2025-05-26 22:48