As a seasoned political observer with years of following elections and their outcomes, I must say that the latest polling data for Kamala Harris versus Donald Trump has me on the edge of my seat! The race is as tight as ever, with both candidates holding small leads in critical swing states – it’s shaping up to be a nail-biter until Election Day.
As the heat in the 2024 presidential contest continues to rise, newly unveiled polling figures for both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, published on September 30, have sparked much interest. With the race staying tightly contested, these surveys highlight the profound splits within the voting population. The data provides valuable perspectives on national tendencies and key swing states as the election approaches.
Here’s a summary of the latest voting trends and their potential implications for the candidates as we approach Election Day.
Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump Poll Results for September 30
By September 30, 2024, according to The Hill’s latest national polls, Kamala Harris is leading Donald Trump by approximately 4.2%. Specifically, she’s at 50.0% and he’s at 45.8%. Various surveys from Outward Intelligence, Napolitan News Service Survey, and Big Village indicate that Harris has a lead of between 2 to 6 points. However, state polls suggest a more competitive race in crucial battlegrounds.
In Arizona and Florida, Donald Trump currently leads by approximately 0.8% and 2.0%, respectively. Surveys conducted by AtlasIntel, Beacon Research/Shaw, Public Policy Polling, and Emerson College suggest Trump has a slight edge in Arizona, with a lead of up to 4 points in Florida.
In the state of Pennsylvania, Harris currently holds a 1.1% advantage over her opponent. However, AtlasIntel predicts that Trump is leading by 3 points, whereas Bloomberg News/Morning Consult suggests that Harris has a 3-point edge. Michigan’s race remains close, with Harris holding a marginal lead of 0.6%. The New York Times/Siena College polls indicate that Harris has a slight advantage, but AtlasIntel indicates Trump is ahead by 3 points there as well.
In Wisconsin, Harris currently has a 1.6% lead in the polls. The New York Times/Siena College survey and Morning Consult both indicate that she is ahead by 1 to 2 points, while AtlasIntel suggests Trump has a slight advantage of 2 points. On the other hand, AtlasIntel also shows Georgia as favoring Trump by a tiny margin of 0.2%. However, the Beacon Research/Shaw poll presents Harris with a more significant lead of 3 points in the state.
In Nevada, Harris has a 2.2% advantage according to several polls, with some showing her leading by 3-4 points. However, Quantus Insights indicates that Trump might be slightly ahead. In New Hampshire, the lead expands to 4.9%, with the University of New Hampshire’s polls suggesting Harris could lead by as much as 7 points. Conversely, in North Carolina, Trump holds a slender 0.5% lead. AtlasIntel suggests Harris might be slightly ahead in North Carolina, while other polls show Trump leading by 3 points.
In crucial battleground areas, neither candidate has a significant advantage; they both hold slim leads. As we near the final weeks, the contest seems set to remain tight and intense.
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2024-09-30 15:13