Is Bitcoin’s Rally Over? New Insights from CryptoQuant Predict a Market Downturn

As a researcher with extensive experience in the cryptocurrency market, I find the recent analysis from CryptoQuant’s analyst intriguing. The potential correlation between Bitcoin’s Adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (ASOPR) and the current market conditions is particularly noteworthy.


Based on the most recent analysis from a cryptocurrency expert at CryptoQuant, there’s a strong indication that Bitcoin could experience a significant price adjustment. This prediction stems from key Bitcoin indicators like the Adjusted Spent Output Profit Ratio (ASOPR), which suggests potential implications for Bitcoin’s future trend.

Understanding ASOPR’s Role In Predicting BTC Corrections

The ASOPR, a significant metric in the cryptocurrency sector, calculates the gain or loss on transactions by determining the difference between the purchase price and the selling price of coins.

Based on the analysis of CryptoQuant, a ratio surpassing 1 indicates that investors are offloading their coins for a profit. This situation tends to align with optimistic market trends.

In other words, reaching ASOPR at the threshold of 1.08 in historical data has typically indicated a market transition, possibly leading to a corrective period.

As a researcher studying market trends, I’ve observed that the consistency of this pattern across various market cycles is noteworthy. It offers investors a valuable perspective on the market’s condition. For example, when the Average Short-Term Price Ratio (ASOPR) gradually rises above 1 and approaches the 1.08 threshold, I would recommend that investors take a closer look at their portfolios to prepare for potential market corrections.

The CryptoQuant analyst particularly noted:

Based on historical data, it’s plausible that the present situation may continue in a negative direction, following a similar pattern as before.

As a crypto investor, I closely monitor the 200-day moving average (MA) in Bitcoin’s market analysis. This indicator, often viewed as a key gauge of the longer-term market trend, plays a significant role in my investment decisions.

The 200-day moving average (MA) function serves to soften out price fluctuations by consistently calculating the mean price, proving crucial in determining the market’s broader trend. An upward trend in the 200-day MA signifies a persistent bullish market, whereas a downward trend could signal a prolonged bearish phase.

Based on the analyst’s chart, Bitcoin’s underperformance relative to this significant moving average aligns with the cautionary recommendation indicated by the ASOPR.

At approximately $64,000 with a 14% decrease from its previous high, the alignment of these signals hints that the market could be undergoing reevaluation and possible correction.

Bitcoin Continued Stagnancy

As a crypto investor, I can observe that the trend indicated by the metric is clear: Bitcoin’s value keeps decreasing, despite encouraging news and progress in the cryptocurrency sector.

As a crypto investor, I’m thrilled to share the exciting news that Standard Chartered Plc has officially announced the establishment of a new trading desk dedicated to Bitcoin and Ethereum. This marks a significant milestone in the growing acceptance of cryptocurrencies within the traditional financial sector, as one of the world’s leading banks takes the plunge into spot trading.

The Winklevoss twins, co-founders of the cryptocurrency firm Gemini, have openly endorsed Donald Trump’s presidency by donating one million dollars in Bitcoin apiece, due to his stance as a “Bitcoin-friendly” candidate.

As a researcher observing the crypto market, I’ve noticed that recent advancements have failed to trigger a substantial price increase for Bitcoin. In fact, its value has dipped by 1.1% within the last 24 hours, now sitting at $63,935.

As an analyst, I believe Bitcoin’s price growth might be delayed until later in the year. Currently, I foresee the cryptocurrency staying within the range of $58,000 to $60,000 for an extended period.

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2024-06-22 03:41