Ethereum Price Tops At 100 SMA, Why ETH Could Struggle In Near Term

Ethereum price failed to recover further above the $2,300 resistance. ETH is showing a few bearish signs and might revisit the $2,080 support.

    Ethereum is struggling to clear the $2,280 and $2,300 resistance levels.
    The price is trading below $2,300 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
    There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $2,280 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
    The pair could start a fresh decline if it stays below the $2,300 resistance zone.

Ethereum Price Faces Rejection

Ethereum price started a recovery wave above the $2,120 level, like Bitcoin. ETH was able to clear the $2,200 and $2,220 resistance levels. However, the bears were active near $2,300 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.

The price failed to clear the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2,430 swing high to the $1,860 low. It is now struggling to clear the $2,280 and $2,300 resistance levels. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $2,280 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

Ethereum is now below $2,300 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average, but it is still above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,860 swing low to the $2,289 high.

On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $2,280 level and the trend line. The first major resistance is now near $2,300. A close above the $2,300 resistance could start a decent upward move. The next key resistance is near $2,400.

Ethereum Price Tops At 100 SMA, Why ETH Could Struggle In Near Term

If there is a clear move above $2,400, there could be a drift toward $2,500. The next resistance sits at $2,500, above which Ethereum might rally and test the $2,620 zone.

Fresh Decline in ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,300 resistance, it could start a fresh decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,185 level.

The first key support could be the $2,075 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,860 swing low to the $2,289 high. A downside break and a close below $2,075 might start another steady decline. In the stated case, Ether could test the $2,000 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,860 level.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Level – $2,185

Major Resistance Level – $2,300

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2024-01-05 07:54