Ethereum Price Has 20% Chance of Reaching New ATH by End of June, Lyra Options Data Shows

As an experienced financial analyst, I believe that the recent approval of spot Ethereum (ETH) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in Hong Kong will have a significant impact on the price action of Ethereum. With record-high daily cash inflows into these ETFs and increasing demand for digital assets from mainland China, we can expect more investors to enter the market, driving up the price of Ethereum.


The recent authorization of Ethereum (ETH) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for spot trading in Hong Kong has heightened the probability of substantial financial inflow from mainland China. According to Coinspeaker’s report, daily cash inflows into these ETFs have set new records since their launch.

In response to surging interest in digital assets, the current U.S. administration, headed by President Joe Biden, is swiftly adapting its position towards altcoins. Additionally, many American political hopefuls aiming for office this November view crypto investors as a significant and legitimate voting bloc.

Direct Impact on Ethereum Price Action

As an analyst studying the decentralized protocol landscape, I can tell you that according to Nick Forster, the founder of Lyra, the potential approval of spot Ethereum Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) in the United States could bring about effects akin to those seen with Bitcoin ETFs. In fact, traders utilizing Lyra for options have already placed calls on Ether expiring in June and July at prices above $5,000.

As a crypto investor, I’d interpret it this way: According to Lyra options markets, there’s a 20% likelihood that Ethereum will hit $5,000 by June 28. Additionally, traders on Lyra have raised their bets, suggesting a 20% chance of Ethereum surpassing $5,500 by July 26. This optimism stems from the ETF speculation.

Forster also pointed out that the green light for Ethereum ETFs in the US could lead to a surge in trading activity in the options market. With Ethereum’s market capitalization currently sitting at roughly one-third of Bitcoin’s pre-ETF approval value, traders should expect increased volatility in the coming weeks as they seek to avoid forced liquidations in this unpredictable market.

Why Bet on Ether

Ethereum (ETH), which is currently the leading smart contract platform, has expanded significantly over the years, offering liquidity to the vast majority of the altcoin sector. At present, Ethereum boasts a total value locked (TVL) of more than $63 billion and a stablecoins market capitalization exceeding $80 billion.

The majority of organizations aiming to convert real-world assets into digital tokens have chosen the Ethereum network because of its dependability and extensive user base.

According to current data, Ethereum’s network boasts a market capitalization of approximately $444 billion, with its value holding steady around $3,692.

Market Picture

As a researcher studying the cryptocurrency market, I’ve noticed an intriguing development: Ethereum’s price has surged by 20 percent against the US dollar in the past few days. This growth has rekindled discussions about an impending “altseason,” a term used to describe a potential surge in the prices of altcoins, or alternative cryptocurrencies, relative to Bitcoin.

Some altcoins, including Pepe (PEPE), the popular meme coin, have recently reached new peak prices as investors’ excitement grows.

Technical analysis indicates that Bitcoin’s dominance may be signaling a imminent shift, potentially leading to a stronger recovery for Ethereum relative to Bitcoin and contributing to the predicted altcoin season.

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2024-05-23 12:51