Bitwise CIO On Bitcoin: ‘We’re Not Bullish Enough’ – Here’s Why

As a seasoned crypto investor with over a decade of experience in this volatile yet exhilarating market, I can confidently say that Matt Hougan’s perspective on Bitcoin’s future potential is not only insightful but also compelling. The 2024 Bitcoin Conference has undoubtedly served as a game-changer, with high-profile political figures like Donald Trump and Cynthia Lummis expressing strong support for Bitcoin and even suggesting significant acquisitions by the US Treasury.


In a recent investor memo after the 2024 Bitcoin Conference, Matt Hougan, Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer (CIO), suggests that the market may underestimate the potential future growth of Bitcoin. This conference, which garnered significant political interest, could significantly impact the direction of Bitcoin in the future.

Why You Are Not Bullish Enough On Bitcoin

At the conference, several significant remarks from influential political figures were showcased. Notably, Donald Trump, the GOP’s presidential candidate, made a statement about creating a national reserve for Bitcoin that sparked considerable attention. Trump envisioned America as the global leader in cryptocurrency and suggested establishing a substantial Bitcoin reserve as part of this vision.

Senator Cynthia Lummis, representing Wyoming as a Republican, proposed legislation that mandates the U.S. Treasury Department to acquire approximately 1 million Bitcoins. Congressman Ro Khanna, a Democrat from California, advocated for the Democratic Party to abandon their past restrictive policies towards cryptocurrencies and instead integrate them fully into the American financial system.

To put forth a bold proposition, self-governing presidential nominee Robert F. Kennedy Jr. advocated for the U.S. Department of the Treasury to procure approximately 4 million Bitcoins. This number is equivalent to the U.S.’s portion of global gold reserves in value.

As per Hougan’s analysis, the public debate about Bitcoin has rapidly shifted from initial skepticism to strategic acceptance, with key turning points being recent crises and regulatory hurdles. The fall of FTX towards the end of 2022, one of the largest shakeups in cryptocurrency history, has left a lasting impact on the industry.

Nonetheless, as Hougan points out, the robustness of Bitcoin and the wider cryptocurrency market has been astounding. In essence, he states that it’s hard to believe. Just under two years ago, FTX was on the verge of collapse due to a significant fraud incident, with bitcoin trading at around $17,000. At that time, crypto skeptics were celebrating its demise. However, today, politicians are seriously discussing the construction of a ‘Bitcoin Fort Knox,’ as Hougan writes.

In simpler terms, it was mentioned that just under a year after the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) took strong action against Coinbase, the U.S. Department of Justice is now working together with this platform to safeguard its cryptocurrency activities. This suggests that there’s been a shift in governmental perspectives towards Bitcoin and digital currencies as a whole.

Hougan suggests that these developments are not merely opportunistic but reflect a deeper recognition of cryptocurrencies’ growing influence in American society. “When you say ‘opportunism,’ I say, ‘That’s how politics works,’” Hougan stated, acknowledging the strategic shifts within the US political sphere.

According to Hougan, investors should thoroughly reconsider Bitcoin’s growth potential as it could be significant. He pointed out that historically, attention has been mainly directed towards potential downfalls, but now there’s an equivalent risk for substantial upward movement. In his words, “We tend to focus on downside risk… But there is now an equal risk to the upside.”

As a crypto investor, I’ve been noticing a significant change in the atmosphere on Wall Street too. In a recent conversation at a conference, Goldman Sachs CEO, David Solomon, hinted at Bitcoin as a possible form of value storage. This suggests that big-name financial institutions are starting to show increased interest, which could be a positive sign for the crypto market.

The Bitwise CIO mused, “Could we wake up tomorrow and find out that a G20 country has added bitcoin to its balance sheet, looking to front-run the US? Could comprehensive crypto legislation get passed more quickly than expected in the US as bipartisan support strengthens? Could Wall Street massively embrace crypto, at a scale much larger than most expect? “

To put it simply, the 2024 Bitcoin Conference appears to have sparked a significant shift in perspective about Bitcoin’s influence, both domestically and internationally. As Hougan stated, ideas that once seemed like fantasies are now looking increasingly plausible following the event.

At press time, BTC traded at $64,136.

Bitwise CIO On Bitcoin: ‘We’re Not Bullish Enough’ – Here’s Why

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2024-08-01 11:48