Bitcoin’s Wild Ride: Will It Hit $100K or Just Fall Flat? 🤔💸

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Well, well, well! Bitcoin has decided to take a little jaunt past the $98,000 mark on Thursday, and now the traders are all aflutter, debating whether the elusive $100K is just around the corner or if we’re all about to step into a trap that would make even the most seasoned adventurer think twice. Behind the curtain, market watchers are pointing fingers at surging open interest (OI) and a spike in leverage, suggesting we might be in for a leverage-driven rollercoaster ride. 🎢

Enter our crypto oracle, Maartunn (@JA_Maartun), who has issued a warning about this so-called “leverage driven pump.” He noted a staggering $2.4 billion leap in Bitcoin’s OI in just 24 hours. Yes, you read that right—$2.4 billion! That’s enough to make even Scrooge McDuck do a double take. He tweeted, “Leverage Driven Pump: $2.4B (7.2%) increase in Open Interest in Bitcoin over the past 24 hours.” Talk about a financial gym workout! 💪

Meanwhile, the ever-eloquent Byzantine General (@ByzGeneral) chimed in, pointing out that fresh long positions are the wind beneath Bitcoin’s wings. “Lots of fresh longs coming in here on BTC which is shoving price higher. Kinda funny that the entire market is getting lifted right now off the back of these degen longs here.” Ah, the joys of watching the market dance to the tune of the “degen” crowd! 💃

But hold your horses! Analysts from alpha dojo (@alphadojo_net) are waving caution flags, highlighting a curious gap between futures-based open interest and actual spot buying. “BTC continues to grind upwards, while the OI rises steadily, but there is little spot buying.” It’s like watching a race where everyone’s revving their engines but no one’s actually going anywhere. They also mentioned that some market participants might be trying to get ahead of Saylor’s planned $2 billion bid. Talk about a game of financial chess! ♟️

Now, if you’re wondering whether this means we’re on the brink of a massive buy that could send the market soaring, the analysts are quick to remind us that without some fresh news or a compelling narrative, Bitcoin might just be stuck in a holding pattern, like a plane circling the airport waiting for clearance. ✈️

Renowned crypto analyst Bob Loukas has thrown his hat into the ring, suggesting we might be nearing the end of one multi-week cycle and the dawn of another. “We’re on the verge of completing a Bitcoin Weekly Cycle,” he says, as if he’s narrating the latest episode of a soap opera. “For context, there have been just 5 weekly Cycles since the 2022 bear market lows.” So, it’s like a never-ending saga, folks! 📺

When pressed about whether this signals an imminent market top, Loukas clarified, “I’m saying we’re about to begin a new one. Cycles always begin from the lows.” So, in other words, we’re not at the top yet, but we might just be getting warmed up. 🔥

Technical analyst Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) has also weighed in, emphasizing the importance of Bitcoin’s daily close above the $97,700 mark. “The early-stage momentum generated by the Bullish Divergence has translated itself into this recent breakout move.” It’s like watching a toddler take their first steps—exciting, but you’re just waiting for the inevitable tumble! 👶

He elaborated on Bitcoin’s relative strength index (RSI) channel, suggesting that the break above a series of lower highs might just be the signal we’ve all been waiting for. “Over time, Bitcoin’s price continued to retest the blue trendline as support.” It’s like a game of hopscotch, but with a lot more zeros involved! 🔵

Looking ahead, a clear retest of $97,700 as support could confirm Rekt Capital’s bullish outlook. “Daily Close above $97700 has been successful (light blue). Any dips into $97700 would constitute a retest attempt.” So, if Bitcoin can hold its ground, we might just be on the path to a rally that could see it break through the $101k resistance. Fingers crossed! 🤞

As of now, BTC is trading at a tantalizing $98,645. Will it break through the $100K barrier, or will it fizzle out like a damp firework? Only time will tell! 🎆

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2025-02-21 22:35