In recent days, our dear Bitcoin has found itself in a most unfortunate predicament, as its value has been on a steady decline, much like a character in a tragic novel who cannot seem to escape their fate. Alas, it has failed to uphold its lofty status above the six-figure threshold, now languishing below the sum of $97,000. đ˘
As I pen these words, the price of BTC stands at a mere $96,939, reflecting a modest decline of 0.8% in the past day and a rather disheartening 10.9% drop from its zenith in January. This unfortunate turn of events is attributed to a multitude of factors, not least of which are the developments occurring on the blockchain. đ
Bitcoin OTC Balances Decline: The Implications
One particularly intriguing observation has been made by the astute CryptoQuant contributor, Darkfost, regarding the precipitous fall in Bitcoinâs over-the-counter (OTC) desk balance. It appears that our institutional friendsâhedge funds, governments, and large corporationsâhave long relied upon these OTC desks to procure their Bitcoin without causing a ruckus in the broader market. How very considerate of them! đ
However, it is with great concern that Darkfost reveals that since September 2021, the OTC balance has plummeted from approximately 480,000 BTC to a paltry 146,000 BTC. One cannot help but wonder where these institutional buyers shall turn when the remaining supply is exhausted. đ¤
âIn September 2021 the OTC desk balance was around 480k BTC and today it sits at 146k BTC left.â â By @Darkfost_Coc
Even after Bitcoin reached the illustrious $100,000 mark, the OTC desk balance continued its downward trajectory, indicating a steady demand that raises eyebrows and questions alike. Darkfost further notes:
âWhen this balance will be fully empty, all buying will have to occur directly on exchanges, which could significantly impact BTCâs price.â
Miners and Hash Rate Trends
Moreover, Darkfost draws our attention to another pressing matter: the capitulation of miners. The activity of these industrious individuals, measured through the Hash Ribbons, provides a window into the health of Bitcoinâs network. One might say it is akin to reading the tea leaves! â
These Hash Ribbons, which track fluctuations in hash rate, have historically served as a reliable signal for market entry points. Yet, it seems they are now flashing ominously, suggesting that miners may be throwing in the towel. Darkfost warns that when miners face difficulties, they may be compelled to sell off their reserves, further complicating the delicate balance of supply and demand.
âThis indicator consistently highlights optimal entry zones, both for mid-term positioning and long-term accumulation.â â By @Darkfost_Coc
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2025-02-12 17:12