Bitcoin Reclaims $63,000 After US Fed Rate Cut, But Is This Rally For Real?

As a seasoned analyst with over a decade of experience in the financial markets, I have seen my fair share of bullish and bearish trends. The recent surge in Bitcoin’s price has certainly piqued my interest, but as always, I remain cautiously optimistic.


Over the past day, Bitcoin has experienced a blend of upswings (bullish tendencies) and downturns (bearish movements). At present, it seems that the bullish momentum is dominating. However, the question remains: Will this trend continue to hold steady?

Prior to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to lower interest rates, Bitcoin’s trading value dipped slightly. Yet, immediately after this announcement, the primary cryptocurrency spiked in price, once again reaching the $60,000 level.

Bitcoin’s robust bullishness persists, currently valued at approximately $63,006 – an uptick of about 5.6% in the last day.

Is This Bitcoin Rally For Real?

Over the last 24 hours, Bitcoin’s unexpected surge in value has sparked various opinions among traders and experts regarding its future direction, with many emphasizing possible predictions about Bitcoin’s forthcoming price movement.

Even though the market is currently on an uptrend, certain analysts advise vigilance, pointing out subtle indicators within the market that might challenge the longevity of this bullish phase.

One such expert, crypto trader Josh Olszewicz, shared his insights on this matter, suggesting that while the current picture appears optimistic, there are still some concerns to consider before expecting a continued uptrend.

Based on Olszewicz’s explanation, Bitcoin has surpassed its daily Ichimoku Cloud – a tool for assessing market tendencies in technical analysis. This action might point towards a favorable outlook for buyers (a possible bullish trend).

Bitcoin Reclaims $63,000 After US Fed Rate Cut, But Is This Rally For Real?

Nonetheless, he highlighted that this specific indicator doesn’t promise a continuous increase by itself. In fact, as Olszewicz noted, the Cloud and the Tenkan-Sen and Kijun-Sen (TK) lines still show a negative pattern.

$BTC
Despite returning above the daily Cloud, we’re still facing a gloomy Cloud formation and a bearish Technical Indicator (TK) cross, which indicates a potential downward trend.
Moreover, the last three Kumo breakouts this year haven’t led anywhere. Consequently, while the current situation looks more optimistic compared to a few days back, it seems that the Cloud might…
— #333kByJuly2025 (@CarpeNoctom) September 19, 2024

What Will Result In A Sustainable Rally?

To confirm a stronger bullish trend, the cloud should change to a bullish phase, accompanied by a bullish TK crossing, as explained by Olszewicz. This combination would offer a more convincing indication of continued bullish momentum.

Additionally, Olszewicz pointed out that earlier Kumo breaches this year haven’t resulted in substantial price increases, which introduces doubt about the current breakout’s potential success.

Instead, let’s consider examining Bitcoin using a broader time span like the two-day Ichimoku Kinko Hyo (Ichimoku Cloud), which could potentially provide a more transparent viewpoint.

On this timescale, a strong price surge (bullish breakout) followed by a Bullish Takasawa cross (TK cross) may offer a more dependable signal suggesting a prolonged bullish momentum for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Reclaims $63,000 After US Fed Rate Cut, But Is This Rally For Real?

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2024-09-20 01:16