As a seasoned crypto investor with a few years under my belt, I’ve witnessed the rollercoaster ride that is the Bitcoin market. The recent 4.7% price drop to around $66,967 from yesterday’s peak of $71,231 has left me feeling both anxious and intrigued.
I’ve noticed a significant drop in Bitcoin‘s price, which has declined by approximately 4.7% since reaching a peak of $71,231 just yesterday. At present, the cryptocurrency is trading around $66,967. This downward trend signifies a notable resurgence of volatility within the market, with several key factors contributing to this shift.
#1 Federal Reserve’s FOMC Meeting Anticipation
The Bitcoin market is showing signs of caution before the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on June 12th. The market’s reaction to broader economic indicators is prominent, as investors anxiously anticipate the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate announcement and their updated economic forecasts.
Experts predict that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates between 5.25% and 5.50% according to current projections. However, investors are preparing for a shift in the Fed’s stance indicated by the upcoming updated dot plot. The forecast adjustment includes fewer anticipated rate cuts in 2024, from three to two, with some market participants even suggesting just one reduction. This more aggressive monetary policy outlook may significantly impact investor decisions, as higher interest rates often decrease the attractiveness of non-interest bearing assets like cryptocurrencies.
As a researcher, I’d like to point out that the upcoming May 2024 Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release poses an added layer of uncertainty. This data is scheduled for publication mere hours before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) makes its announcement. In light of the market’s sensitivity to US macroeconomic data in recent times, any discrepancy from anticipated figures could potentially trigger significant price fluctuations.
As a crypto investor, I’ve been closely monitoring the market movements surrounding X. Last Friday’s robust employment report has significantly decreased the likelihood of a July rate cut in the markets. However, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell holds the power to shift this narrative during his speech on Wednesday. If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data shows a softer-than-expected reading, there could be a substantial market reaction, potentially causing Bitcoin and crypto prices to experience noticeable fluctuations.
#2 Intensified Spot Selling Pressure
As an analyst, I have discovered that the primary cause of the recent price decline can be attributed to a significant increase in spot selling. My analysis from Alpha Dojo shows that heavy selling pressure was largely responsible for pushing the price down to a low of $67,000. The market dynamics during this time suggest a clear shift, with an influx of sell orders not matched by enough buy orders to maintain the price level. This imbalance has resulted in a breach of what was previously considered a strong support zone around $68,000.
Analysts have provided insights into the recent market turmoil, explaining that Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a significant drop of approximately 3.5% in value since the previous day, reaching a low of $67,000. This decline was mainly triggered by intense selling activity on the spot market, which is concerning as it indicates bearish sentiment. A major worry arises from the absence of liquidations during this selloff, increasing the likelihood of further price drops. The current situation is critical for Bitcoin, as its daily structure has been breached. In order to avoid falling back into the lower $60ks, BTC must rebound at this point.
#3 Inflow Streak In Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows Ends
As an analyst, I’ve been monitoring the investment trends in spot Bitcoin ETFs closely. After a remarkable 19-day streak of positive inflows, these funds suddenly experienced substantial outflows amounting to $64.9 million in a single day. Among the major players, Grayscale Bitcoin Trust recorded significant outflows totaling $39.5 million, while BlackRock reported smaller inflows of only $6.3 million.
Other ETF providers displayed significant differences in their performance. Fidelity saw net redemptions of approximately $3 million, while Bitwise attracted investments totaling around $7.6 million. Conversely, Invesco experienced significant outflows amounting to $20.5 million, and Valkyrie reported similar net redemptions of roughly $15.8 million.
At press time, BTC traded at $66,967.
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2024-06-11 18:05