As someone who has weathered numerous storms (quite literally) over the years, I can’t help but feel a sense of unease as Hurricane Patty looms on the horizon. The 2024 hurricane season has been relentless, and while we’ve managed to dodge some bullets with Nadine and Oscar, Helene and Milton left lasting impacts that many are still recovering from.
Weather specialists are keeping a close eye on where Hurricane Patty, set to be the next named tropical storm, could potentially originate. Luckily, hurricanes Nadine and Oscar didn’t cause as much damage to the United States as they did to the Caribbean and Central America. However, it’s important to note that the 2024 hurricane season isn’t over yet, concluding on November 30. Many residents in the southeastern U.S. are still in recovery mode following hurricanes Helene and Milton. Meteorologists are closely tracking a specific region that could potentially transform into a hurricane within the next week.
When and where could Hurricane Patty appear?
A potential tropical depression in the western Caribbean might strengthen into a hurricane named Patty, according to the GFS forecast model, suggesting formation within the coming week.
According to meteorologist Brian Shields (Mr. Weatherman on YouTube), an analysis conducted on October 23 indicates that the region beneath the Cayman Islands, stretching towards the east encompassing Honduras and Nicaragua, is likely to receive heavy rainfall throughout the week. The persistence of above-average ocean surface temperatures in the Caribbean increases the likelihood of any prolonged storm in this area potentially evolving into a hurricane. This region appears to be reminiscent of where hurricanes Helene and Nadine had previously gained their strength.
Based on their forecast, Accuweather anticipates that a tropical storm could form within the specified region sometime between October 30th and November 2nd. The likelihood of this is attributed not only to warm water conditions but also to relatively low wind shear, which tends to encourage the growth of such weather systems.
Shields and Accuweather predict that the approaching tropical storm may traverse Cuba in a northeasterly direction or West Central America, similar to Hurricane Nadine’s path. Previously, high-pressure weather conditions over the south-eastern U.S. safeguarded the region from both Nadine and Oscar. Nevertheless, Accuweather also warns that there’s a chance this new system could head towards Florida or the mainland southeastern United States.
Originally reported by Nicholas Tan on Mandatory.
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2024-10-29 14:10