As a seasoned political observer and someone who has witnessed the ebb and flow of elections over the years, I find the current state of the 2024 presidential race to be as captivating as ever. The tight margins in key battleground states remind me of a nail-biting baseball game, where every point could swing the outcome.
In the heat of the 2024 presidential campaign, recently published poll results on October 3 for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have garnered much interest. As the race stays tightly contested, these polls reveal distinct voter splits. The findings provide valuable insights into both national voting patterns and key swing states as the election approaches.
Let’s examine the latest survey findings and their potential implications for each contender, as we draw closer to Election Day.
Kamala Harris vs Donald Trump Poll Results for October 3
According to a survey conducted on October 3, 2024, Kamala Harris has a 4.6 percentage point lead over Donald Trump in the national polls. Specifically, Harris is currently at 49.9% and Trump stands at 45.3%. The data for this information comes from The Hill.
In summary, various recent polls suggest a consistent lead for Harris over Trump. For instance, Susquehanna Polling from September 24 to October 2 indicates Harris is ahead by 5 points (49% vs 44%), Ipsos data from September 26 to October 1 shows a 6-point advantage for Harris (46% vs Trump’s 40%), while Leger/New York Post polling (September 28 – 30) reveals a more narrow margin of 4 points, with Harris leading by 51% and Trump at 47%.
Across crucial swing states, the polls are showing close contests. In Arizona, Donald Trump is slightly ahead by 1.2% according to 38 surveys, with InsiderAdvantage and Emerson College indicating a lead of 1 to 4 points. Likewise, Trump also seems to be in the lead in Florida by 2.6%, as indicated by Public Policy Polling and McLaughlin & Associates who suggest a 4 to 5-point margin for him.
In Pennsylvania and Michigan, the race is tight: Emerson College data indicates that Harris leads by a small margin of 1% in Pennsylvania, whereas The Trafalgar Group reports a slightly larger advantage for Trump by 2%. Similarly, in Michigan, Harris has a slight edge of 0.5%, but The Trafalgar Group shows Trump in the lead by 2 points as well.
Harris maintains a 1.7% lead in Wisconsin, where The New York Times/Siena College and ActiVote polls place her up by 1 to 2 points, but AtlasIntel reports Trump ahead by 2 points. In Georgia, Trump holds a 0.7% lead, though data is split with Quinnipiac University showing Trump up by 5 points. Nevada leans toward Harris, where she holds a 1.9% lead, supported by AtlasIntel and TIPP Insight polls.
In New Hampshire, according to three separate polls, Kamala Harris currently leads Donald Trump by a margin of nearly 5 percentage points. The University of New Hampshire’s data from August 16th-20th indicates that Harris has 52% support compared to Trump’s 47%, while Emerson College’s survey conducted July 27th-29th shows Harris with 52.4% and Trump with 47.6%.
In the 2024 presidential election, there’s a tight contest as both national and local surveys indicate close results in key swing states. As we move closer to Election Day, these pivotal regions will significantly impact who wins the overall race.
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2024-10-03 12:40