As a seasoned researcher with over two decades of experience in the financial markets, I have seen my fair share of market cycles and trends. Having closely followed Bitcoin since its inception, I must say that Kaleo’s analysis resonates with me. The comparison between the current Bitcoin price performance post-halving and the previous cycle is insightful and persuasive.
Despite Bitcoin‘s current trend showing a downturn, a thorough examination reveals it is in a robust state. As per crypto analyst Kaleo’s recent assessment, Bitcoin exhibits stronger fundamentals compared to its previous halving cycle, which offers an intriguing perspective for the cryptocurrency. This positive forecast emerges as Bitcoin battles to maintain itself above $54,000 and surge beyond $57,000.
Bitcoin Is In A Healthier Place
Kaleo’s Bitcoin analysis on social media platform X looked at how the current Bitcoin price trend since the April 2024 halving compares to its performance following the May 2020 halving. As it stands, we are now 141 days post-halving, but the Bitcoin price hasn’t quite lived up to the optimistic expectations many had for it.
The expert noted that Bitcoin’s current price, which is $19,000 less than its record high of $69,434, might be seen as a continued downtrend by some. However, Kaleo emphasized that Bitcoin is actually doing better than it seems. This is due to the fact that after the 2020 halving, Bitcoin had already dropped by 46% from its 2018 peak. This past performance suggests that Bitcoin is in a more robust state today, even though it’s having trouble surpassing significant heights at present.
Currently, as I type this, Bitcoin is being exchanged for approximately $56,616. After a period of bullishness in August, there has been little continued upward momentum, leading some crypto analysts to revise their earlier, optimistic forecasts. Now, due to the present market conditions, numerous analysts have expressed pessimistic and bearish opinions about Bitcoin’s future price movements.
Reflecting on the past, I’m reminded of a sentiment that echoed through the cryptocurrency market following the 2020 halving. At that time, pessimistic views were widespread. Many market participants voiced their doubts and made bearish predictions about Bitcoin’s future. However, the Bitcoin bulls defied these expectations, propelling the cryptocurrency’s market cap beyond $1 trillion for the first time. This surge also ignited a significant increase in the value of various altcoins and ushered in new sectors like NFTs.
#Bitcoin / $BTC
If I were to share with you that Bitcoin appears to be in a more robust state now, compared to where it stood after the previous halving event.
It’s currently only down ~19% from last cycles top (141 days post halving).
In 2020, it was down ~46% from the 2018 top 141 days post halving.…
— K A L E O (@CryptoKaleo) September 9, 2024
What’s Next For BTC?
Kaleo’s examination indicates that while there’s present-day skepticism, history may mirror itself and Bitcoin could surge beyond projected market values again. Additionally, the analyst posits that the cryptocurrency environment is now more robust to facilitate a significant price spike. For example, institutional investors can now effortlessly invest in BTC via Spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). Moreover, regulatory oversight within the crypto sector has significantly improved over the past four years.
As a researcher delving into Bitcoin’s historical patterns, I too have studied previous halving cycles and arrived at an intriguing observation: if history tends to repeat itself, it seems plausible that the next significant breakout for Bitcoin might take place in October. Interestingly, October appears to be a consistently strong month for Bitcoin throughout its history. Additionally, my analysis suggests that the market peak could potentially occur within a range of 518 to 546 days following the April halving event.
Read More
Sorry. No data so far.
2024-09-11 20:46