Arthur Hayes Says Bitcoin Bottom Is In, Predicts Slow but Steady Climb Back Up

As an experienced financial analyst with a focus on cryptocurrencies, I find Arthur Hayes’ perspective intriguing and well-grounded based on his industry expertise and the market conditions mentioned. The recent Bitcoin correction was indeed expected given the confluence of factors, such as the US tax season, uncertainty over Fed actions, and the “sell the news event” of Bitcoin halving. However, I agree with Hayes that these events were merely a necessary market cleansing, paving the way for a resurgence in crypto markets.


Industry veteran and ex-CEO of BitMEX cryptocurrency exchange, Arthur Hayes, has expressed his views on Bitcoin‘s (BTC) price trend in a recent blog post published on Friday. According to Hayes, who is well-versed in the crypto industry, Bitcoin may have hit its bottom and could gradually recover over the next few days.

As a crypto investor, I can tell you from my perspective that recent market downturn, which resulted in a 23% correction, was not entirely unexpected based on the current conditions. Factors such as the US tax season, uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve actions, and the “sell the news event” of Bitcoin halving all contributed to the price action. However, I view this market cleansing as necessary for the long-term health and growth of the crypto market.

Steady Rise Up Next for Bitcoin, Says Arthur Hayes

The ex-chief of BitMEX is convinced that crypto markets, having recently experienced declines, are due for a revival. He attributes this anticipated upturn to the expected surge in dollar liquidity as a result of the Federal Reserve’s QT process reduction and the US Treasury’s debt issuance strategies.

As a researcher examining the financial markets, I’d interpret Hayes’ perspective as follows: The Federal Reserve’s Quantitative Tightening (QT) program is believed to infuse additional liquidity into financial markets. This increased liquidity could hypothetically amplify the stimulus impact on global asset classes. In turn, this liquidity influx may seep into riskier investments such as cryptocurrencies, thereby instigating a surge in demand and buying pressure.

The Federal Reserve’s decision to lower the QT reduction rate from $95 billion to $60 billion monthly equates to an injection of an additional $35 billion in US dollars into the economy each month.

For every decrease in the amount of securities the Fed intends to buy back monthly, there is an anticipated increase in liquidity in the market. According to Hayes, this influx of funds will eventually offset any downward price pressure on cryptocurrencies, causing their prices to initially stabilize before gradually climbing higher.

Similar Views

As a researcher, I’ve come across some intriguing perspectives regarding Bitcoin’s price movement that are worth sharing. Dr. Jeff Ross, the founder and CEO of Vailshire Capital Management, holds a viewpoint similar to that of Craig Canning Hayes. Contrary to the widespread belief that the Bitcoin bull market has ended, Dr. Ross asserts that we might be surprised to discover that the actual bull run may still be in its infancy. He voiced this opinion through a May 2nd post on Medium, providing additional evidence to support Hayes’ claims.

It’s intriguing to note that Bitcoin prices have rebounded slightly today, with Coinspeaker reporting a 2.9% increase in the past 24 hours, bringing the price to $59,279 as of now. Nevertheless, the cryptocurrency remains 10% lower than its price from last month.

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2024-05-03 10:51